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This paper surveys existing factor forecast applications for real economic activity and inflation by means of a meta-analysis and contributes to the current debate on the determinants of the forecast performance of large-scale dynamic factor models relative to other models. We find that, on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295831
This paper uses a meta-analysis to survey existing factor forecast applications for output and inflation and assesses what causes large factor models to perform better or more poorly at forecasting than other models. Our results suggest that factor models tend to outperform small models, whereas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776085
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991163
This paper surveys existing factor forecast applications for real economic activity and inflation by means of a meta-analysis and contributes to the current debate on the determinants of the forecast performance of large-scale dynamic factor models relative to other models. We find that, on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083176
This paper surveys existing factor forecast applications for output and inflation by means of a meta-analysis and assesses the determinants of the forecast performance of large factor models relative to other models. Our results suggest that factor models tend to outperform small models, whereas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053755
negative shocks. Second, the transmission to GDP growth in European countries has increased gradually since the 1980s … financial crisis shock' being very large by historical standards and explaining 30 percent of the variation in GDP growth on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010304435
negative shocks. Second, the transmission to GDP growth in European countries has increased gradually since the 1980s … financial crisis shock' being very large by historical standards and explaining 30 percent of the variation in GDP growth on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643168
transmission to GDP growth in European countries has increased gradually since the 1980s, consistent with financial globalization …' being very large by historical standards and explaining 30 percent of the variation in GDP growth on average over all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003376
This paper analyzes how bank lending to the private nonbank sector responds dynamically to aggregate supply, demand and monetary policy shocks in Germany and the euro area. The results suggest that the dynamic responses in the two areas are broadly similar, although there are some differences in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295823
This paper uses a factor-augmented vector autoregressive model (FAVAR) estimated on U.S. data in order to analyze monetary transmission via private sector balance sheets, credit risk spreads and asset markets in an integrated setup and to explore the role of monetary policy in the three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300360