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This paper surveys existing factor forecast applications for real economic activity and inflation by means of a meta-analysis and contributes to the current debate on the determinants of the forecast performance of large-scale dynamic factor models relative to other models. We find that, on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295831
This paper surveys existing factor forecast applications for real economic activity and inflation by means of a meta-analysis and contributes to the current debate on the determinants of the forecast performance of large-scale dynamic factor models relative to other models. We find that, on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083176
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991163
This paper uses a meta-analysis to survey existing factor forecast applications for output and inflation and assesses what causes large factor models to perform better or more poorly at forecasting than other models. Our results suggest that factor models tend to outperform small models, whereas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776085
This paper surveys existing factor forecast applications for output and inflation by means of a meta-analysis and assesses the determinants of the forecast performance of large factor models relative to other models. Our results suggest that factor models tend to outperform small models, whereas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053755
negative shocks. Second, the transmission to GDP growth in European countries has increased gradually since the 1980s … financial crisis shock' being very large by historical standards and explaining 30 percent of the variation in GDP growth on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010304435
negative shocks. Second, the transmission to GDP growth in European countries has increased gradually since the 1980s … financial crisis shock' being very large by historical standards and explaining 30 percent of the variation in GDP growth on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643168
transmission to GDP growth in European countries has increased gradually since the 1980s, consistent with financial globalization …' being very large by historical standards and explaining 30 percent of the variation in GDP growth on average over all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003376
relative to GDP and a decrease in r-star following the disasters. With climate change persisting, this could constrain the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015210000
We explore the concept of global liquidity based on a factor model estimated using a large set of financial and macroeconomic variables from 24 advanced and emerging market economies. We measure global liquidity conditions based on the common global factors in the dynamics of liquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010311766