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Forward exchange rate unbiasedness is rejected in tests from the current floating exchange rate era. This paper surveys advances in this area since the publication of Hodrick's (1987) survey. It documents that the change in the future exchange rate is generally negatively related to the forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005515074
We reexamine the evidence for border effects in deviations from the law of one price, using data for consumer prices … rather than price index data. We find evidence of border effects both in the levels of prices and the percentage change in … prices. Even accounting for distance between cities and relative population sizes, we find that the absolute difference …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368324
.S. cities and Canadian cities for 14 categories of consumer prices to examine the nature of the deviations from the law of one … price. The distance between cities explains a significant amount of the variation in the prices of similar goods in … prices as adding 2500 miles between cities. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005712747
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lead to relative prices that do not reflect the true relative costs of production. From this standpoint, "external balance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008635972
Engel and West (EW, 2005) argue that as the discount factor gets closer to one, present-value asset pricing models place greater weight on future fundamentals. Consequently, current fundamentals have very weak forecasting power and exchange rates appear to follow approximately a random walk. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008489231
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This paper presents a general framework to address several issues that have arisen in recent work that investigates purchasing power parity (PPP) and other inter-regional relative price movements: (1) How can we model real exchange rate movements in a consistent manner, so that our model for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368370
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