This study models high and low frequency variation in global equity correlations using a comprehensive sample of 43 countries that includes developed and emerging markets, during the period 1995-2008. These two types of variations are modeled following the semi-parametric Factor-Spline-GARCH...

We model high and low frequency variation in global equity correlations using a sample of 43 countries, including developed and emerging markets during the period 1995-2008. Such variations are characterized by a multifactor asset pricing structure with second-moments dynamics leading to high...

Forecasts from various experts are often used in macroeconomic forecasting models. Usually the focus is on the mean or median of the survey data. In the present study we adopt a different perspective on the survey data as we examine the predictive power of disagreement amongst forecasters. The...