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"This paper develops a theory of expectations-driven business cycles based on learning. Agents have incomplete … series is captured, unlike in standard models. Inherited from real business cycle theory, the benchmark model suffers a …
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We define and analyze a "strategic topology" on types in the Harsanyi-Mertens-Zamir universal type space, where two types are close if their strategic behavior is similar in all strategic situations. For a fixed game and action define the distance between a pair of types as the difference...
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Central bank communication plays an important role in shaping market participants’ expectations. This paper studies a simple nonlinear model of monetary policy in which agents have incomplete information about the economic environment. It shows that agents’ learning and the dynamics of the...
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