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These notes try to clarify some discussions on the formulation of individual intertemporal behavior under adaptive learning in representative agent models. First, we discuss two suggested approaches and related issues in the context of a simple consumption-saving model. Second, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008800438
Earlier studies of the seigniorage inflation model have found that the high-inflation steady state is not stable under adaptive learning. We reconsider this issue and analyze the full set of solutions for the linearized model. Our main focus is on stationary hyperinflationary paths near the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298287
Full commitment in monetary policy leads to equilibria that are superior to those from optimal discretionary policies. Different types of reactions functions to implement and instrument rules to approximate full commitment have been proposed in the literature. We assess optimal reaction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604170
We investigate both the rational explosive inflation paths studied by McCallum (2001) and the classification of fiscal and monetary policies proposed by Leeper (1991) for stability under learning of rational expectations equilibria (REE).Our first result is that the fiscalist REE in the model of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147853
We review the recent work on interest rate setting, which emphasizes the desirability of designing policy to ensure stability under private agent learning.Appropriately designed expectations based rules can yield optimal rational expectations equilibria that are both determinate and stable under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147864
Using New Keynesian models, we compare Friedman's k-percent money supply rule to optimal interest rate setting, with respect to determinacy, stability under learning and optimality.We first review the recent literature.Open-loop interest rate rules are subject to indeterminacy and instability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147874
We consider the robust stability of a rational expectations equilibrium, which we define as stability under discounted (constant gain) least-squares learning, for a range of gain parameters. We find that for operational forms of policy rules, ie rules that do not depend on contemporaneous values...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148020
Expectations about the future are central for determination of current macroeconomic outcomes and the formulation of monetary policy. Recent literature has explored ways for supplementing the benchmark of rational expectations with explicit models of expectations formation that rely on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148021
We examine the nonlinear model Xt = Et F(xt+1) . Markov SSEs exist near an indeterminate steady state, X = F(X), provided F´(X)> 1. We show that there exist Markov SSEs that are E-stable, and therefore locally stable under adaptive learning, if F´(X)< -1.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398793
We consider the stability under adaptive learning of the complete set of solutions to the model when . In addition to the fundamentals solution, the literature describes both finite-state Markov sunspot solutions, satisfying a resonant frequency condition, and autoregressive solutions depending...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398912