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This chapter provides a survey of the recent work on learning in the context of macroeconomics. Learning has several … roles. First, it provides a boundedly rational model of how rational expectations can be achieved. Secondly, learning acts … as a selection device in models with multiple REE (rational expectations equilibria). Third, the learning dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024243
under private agent learning can in some cases be stable when the observed sunspot has a suitable time series structure. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298274
under private agent learning can in some cases be stable when the observed sunspot has a suitable time series structure. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986495
" parameter which converges in the limit to zero. These systems have recently been used to study the dynamics of adaptive learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005371114
We examine existence and stability under learning of sunspot equilibria in a New Keynesian model incorporating inertia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464106
be led to rules that generate indeterminacy and/or instability under learning. This problem is compounded by uncertainty … about structural parameters since an optimal rule that is determinate and stable under learning for one calibration may be … indeterminate or unstable under learning under a different calibration. We advocate a procedure in which policymakers restrict …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593754
solutions under adaptive learning, focusing on "common factor" or "resonant frequency" representations in which the observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593762
parameter regions in which these sunspots are stable under learning. However, once the parameters are restricted to coincide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635095
A striking implication of the replacement of adaptive expectations by Rational Expectations was the "Lucas Critique," which showed that expectation parameters, and endogenous variable dynamics, depend on policy parameters. We consider this issue from the vantage point of a bounded rationality,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635099
negative). We investigate whether replacing rational expectations by discounted least squares (or "perpetual") learning can … explain the result. We calculate the asymptotic bias under perpetual learning and show that there is a negative bias that … adaptive learning is potentially able to explain the forward premium puzzle. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635112