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We show that option-implied jump tail risk estimated prior to earnings announcements strongly predicts post …-earnings risk-adjusted abnormal stock returns. The predictive power of implied jump tail risk is particularly strong on extreme … for model-free implied moments of variance, skewness and kurtosis. We argue that the tail risk implied from options …
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This study examines whether individualistic national culture is associated with stock price crash risk (“crash risk … individualistic cultural settings exhibit higher future crash risk. Digging deeper, we find that earnings management, excessive … managerial risk-taking, and investors' difference of opinion and overconfidence are all possible explanations for the positive …
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show that abnormal coverage contains valuable information about individual firm ex-ante crash risk (proxied by implied … associated with a 5.5% decrease in the ex-ante crash risk. The abnormal coverage signal is more useful in firms with a more … assess crash risk of mispriced firms …
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This paper compares the performance of safe haven assets during two stressful stock market regimes – the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and COVID-19 pandemic. Our analysis across the ten largest economies in the world shows that the traditional choice, gold, acts as a safe haven during the...
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