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We show that option-implied jump tail risk estimated prior to earnings announcements strongly predicts post-earnings risk-adjusted abnormal stock returns. The predictive power of implied jump tail risk is particularly strong on extreme abnormal stock returns whose absolute values exceed 10%. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913958
Employing a broad sample of US firms over the period 1962 to 2009, we provide evidence of a liquidity risk impact on the fundamental earnings-returns relation. Specifically, we document that current liquidity risk has a positive moderating effect on the relation between current returns and next...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101925
We examine the role of shareholder takeup in rights offerings on the subscription period price reaction and liquidity. Our results indicate that takeup information is reflected in price adjustments over the subscription period and that quality-related information disclosed on the rights...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149273
We examine the announcement effects of consumer sentiment on US stock and stock futures markets. First, we find that the consumer sentiment announcement has valuable information content. Second, an asymmetric response is observed for “good” versus “bad” sentiment news. Specifically, when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130425
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009688168
We argue that arbitrageurs will strategically limit their initial investment in an arbitrage opportunity in anticipation of further mispricing caused by the deepening of noise traders' misperceptions. Such ‘noise momentum' is an important determinant of the overall arbitrage process. We design...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051028
volatility smirk from options data). Specifically, one standard deviation increase in unexpected or abnormal coverage is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889423
We argue that a higher sensitivity to aggregate market-wide liquidity shocks (i.e. a higher liquidity risk) implies a tendency for a stock's price to converge to fundamentals. We test this intuition within the framework of the earnings-returns relation. We find a positive liquidity risk effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981424
This article analyzes the impact of movements in the Australian dollar/Japanese yen (AUDJPY) and the Australian dollar/US dollar (AUDUSD) exchange rates on the returns of the Australian equities market. Specifically, this paper investigates the nature of exchange rate exposure across increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004304
support comes for market conditions - type variables as the prime drivers: namely, oil price, bond rate, volatility of oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120487