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Die Präzision ökonomischer Prognosen und die Qualität politischer Handlungsempfehlungen hängen in entscheidendem Ausmaß von der Qualität des zugrunde liegenden Verhaltensmodells ab. Nur ein empirisch gut fundiertes Modell ökonomischen Handelns erlaubt es, die Konsequenzen politischer...
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Many economic decisions involve a substantial amount of uncertainty, and therefore crucially depend on how individuals process probabilistic information. In this paper, we investigate the capability for probability judgment in a representative sample of the German population. Our results show...
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for 80,000 individuals, drawn as representative samples from 76 countries around the world, representing 90 percent of … both the world's population and global income. The global distribution of preferences exhibits substantial variation across … systematically with age, gender, and cognitive ability. Around the world, our preference measures are predictive of a wide range of …
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