Emerging markets often go through periods of financial turbulence and the estimation of market risk measures may be problematic. Online search queries and implied volatility may (or may not) improve the model estimates. In these situations a step-by-step analysis with R and Russian market data...

This paper investigates the intraday volatility pattern of the E-mini SP500, quoted at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, one of the most traded American Stock Index futures. The data set consists of round-the-clock hourly returns. The squared (and absolute) returns are characterized by long...

This paper investigates the intraday volatility pattern of the E-mini SP500, quoted at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, one of the most traded American Stock Index futures. The data set consists of round-the-clock hourly returns. The squared (and absolute) returns are characterized by long...

This paper studies the information content of the S&P 500 and VIX markets on the volatility of the S&P 500 returns. We estimate a flexible affine model based on a joint time series of underlying indexes and option prices on both markets. An extensive model specification analysis reveals that...

We study the intra-horizon value at risk (iVaR) in a general jump diffusion setup and propose a new model of asset returns called displaced mixed-exponential model, which can arbitrarily closely approximate finite-activity jump-diffusions and completely monotone Levy processes. We derive...

This paper investigates the intraday volatility pattern of the E-mini SP500 hourly returns. In order to account for the observed long memory and periodicity in returns volatility we introduce the Fractionally Integrated Periodic EGARCH and the Seasonal Fractional Integrated Periodic EGARCH. For...