In early 2020, the disease Covid-19 caused a drastic lockdown of the Chinese economy. We use a quantitative trade model with input-output linkages to gauge the effects of this adverse supply shock in China on the global economy through international trade and global value chains (GVCs). We find...

Recent disruptions to global value chains (GVCs) have raised an important question: Can decoupling from GVCs increase a country’s welfare by reducing its exposure to foreign supply shocks? We use a quantitative trade model to simulate GVCs decoupling, defined as increased barriers to global...

In early 2020, the disease Covid-19 caused a drastic lockdown of the Chinese economy. We use a quantitative trade model with input-output linkages to gauge the effects of this adverse supply shock in China on the global economy through international trade and global value chains (GVCs). We find...

Recent disruptions to global value chains (GVCs) have raised an important question: Can decoupling from GVCs increase a country’s welfare by reducing its exposure to foreign supply shocks? We use a quantitative trade model to simulate GVCs decoupling, defined as increased barriers to global...

In a study commissioned by Gesamtmetall, the Kiel Institute for the World Economy examines the effects of the German Due Diligence Act, which was passed by the Bundestag in June 2021. The planned EU directive is also addressed. The law will increase costs and risks for companies trading with...

In einer Studie im Auftrag von Gesamtmetall e.V. untersucht das Kiel Institut für Weltwirtschaft die Auswirkungen des deutschen Sorgfaltspflichtengesetzes, welches im Juni 2021 vom Bundestag verabschiedet wurde. Auf die geplante EU-Richtlinie wird ebenfalls eingegangen. Das Gesetz wird für...

A unilateral tax on CO2 emissions may drive up indirect carbon imports from non-committed countries, leading to carbon leakage. Using a gravity model of carbon trade, we analyze the effect of the Kyoto Protocol on the carbon content of bilateral trade. We construct a novel data set of CO2...