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Using OECD composite leading indicators (CLI), we assess empirically whether the ability of the country-specific CLIs to predict economic activity has diminished in recent years, e.g. due to rapid advances in globalisation. Overall, we find evidence that the CLI encompasses useful information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640454
Depending on how it is structured, the introduction of a European unemployment insurance within the euro area could make a significant contribution to stabilizing economic developments. This even applies to a relatively small-scale system (based on the volume of transfers) with a maximum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011015403
The German economy has veered back on an upward course, after weak growth in the summer semester 2014. In this … projected to remain low, with 0.9 percent in 2014, 0.7 percent in 2015 and 1.4 percent in 2016. The growth rate of the global … stabilize purchasing power and thus private consumption and investments. The average annual growth rate of the world economy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261769
annual growth rate will be 1.9 percent in 2016. Driven by this favorable economic development, the unemployment rate will … continues in its recovery. The moderate upswing is primarily driven by the growth of consumption in industrialized countries. A … investment activity. In the euro area as well, growth is supported by consumer demand. However, there are a number of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011203025
high and the public and private debt is dampening demand. For the time being, growth in the emerging markets is expected to … lag behind. Overall, the average annual growth rate of the global economy is expected to be 3.8 percent in 2015, and 4 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011204434
Das DIW Berlin prognostiziert für die deutsche Wirtschaft für 2011 ein Wachstum von 2,7 Prozent, im Jahr 2012 dürfte der Zuwachs noch 1,4 Prozent betragen. Besonders im ersten Vierteljahr 2011 dürfte bei der Wirtschaftsleistung ein deutliches Plus von knapp einem Prozent gegenüber dem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008917872
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322382
Das DIW Berlin prognostiziert für die deutsche Wirtschaft im Jahr 2010 ein Wachstum von 3,4 Prozent, im Jahr 2011 werden es 2,0 Prozent sein. Der Aufschwung nach der schwersten Rezession der Nachkriegszeit verläuft damit kräftig, auch wenn die hohen Wachstumsraten der ersten Jahreshälfte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008677254
pace with the dynamic growth of the previous quarter. Among other things, deteriorating external financing conditions and … increases in policy rates impacted growth. Globally, monetary policies will continue to be very expansive. Moreover, the … contractive impact of fiscal stimulus policies will also diminish. After a weak start to the year, the rate of growth in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011128247
the course of 2013, the growth rate for 2014 will be higher, reaching 1.6 percent. Nevertheless, the economy will still … increasingly drive German growth. The political and economic environment remains strained given the fragile progress being made in …. Consequently, growth in the euro area will remain subdued. On the other hand, after losing some momentum in 2012, emerging market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011128251