It is well-documented that well-being typically evinces precipitous decrements at the end of life. However, research has primarily taken a postdictive approach by knowing the outcome (date of death) and aligning in retrospect how well-being has changed for people with documented death events. In...

Diesem Band liegt eine Weiterbildungsveranstaltung der Deutschen Statistischen Gesellschaft zugrunde, die von der Projektgruppe "Das Sozio-oekonomische Panel" (SOEP) (DIW Berlin) und dem Institut für Statistik und Mathematik der Universität Frankfurt am Main geplant und durchgeführt wurde....

In this paper we develop a business cycle measure that can be shown to have excellent ex-ante forecasting properties for GDP growth. For identifying business cycle movements, we use a semantic approach. We infer nine different states of the economy directly from firms' responses in business...