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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001456298
We explore the efficiency of the forward Reichsmark market in Vienna between 1876 and 1914. We estimate ARIMA models of the spot exchange rate in order to forecast the one-month-ahead spot rate. In turn we compare these forecasts to the contemporaneous forward rate, i.e., the market's forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010439381
The emergence of the gold standard has for a long time been viewed as inevitable. Fluctuations of the gold-silver exchange rate in world markets were accused to lead to brutal and unsustainable switches of bimetallic countries' money supplies. However, more recent work has shown that the option...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316773
We explore the efficiency of the forward Reichsmark market in Vienna between 1876 and 1914. We estimate ARIMA models of the spot exchange rate in order to forecast the one-month-ahead spot rate. In turn we compare these forecasts to the contemporaneous forward rate, i.e., the market's forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427442
The emergence of the gold standard has for a long time been viewed as inevitable. Fluctuations of the gold-silver exchange rate in world markets were accused to lead to brutal and unsustainable switches of bimetallic countries' money supplies. However, more recent work has shown that the option...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012669355
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010865282
This paper is an exploration of the theory of endogenous regime changes which takes as an illustration the making of the classical gold standard. The international gold-based fixed exchange rate regime that surfaced during the 1870s has traditionally been interpreted as resulting from a mix of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662237
monetary standards crumbled under their weight, not so much because fiscal policies became looser, but rather because debt …, real interest rates fell and debt grew more slowly. This study’s clear implication for the EMU zone, is that stability will …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123899
The emergence of the gold standard has for a long time been viewed as inevitable. Fluctuations of the gold-silver exchange rate in world markets were accused to lead to brutal and unsustainable switches of bimetallic countries’ money supplies. However, more recent work has shown that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009415637
The emergence of the gold standard has for a long time been viewed as inevitable. Fluctuations of the gold-silver exchange rate in world markets were accused to lead to brutal and unsustainable switches of bimetallic countries’ money supplies. However, more recent work has shown that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008800144