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Market participants' forecasts of future exchange rate volatility can be recovered from option contracts on foreign … currencies. Such implicit volatility forecasts for four currencies are used to test rational expectations jointly with the … version of market rationality: the market can correctly forecast the direction of the change in exchange rate volatility. This …
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The optimal-diversification model of investors' portfolio behavior can give a linear relationship between the exchange risk premium and the conditional exchange rate variance. This note surveys recent empirical work that allows for the conditional variance itself, and therefore the risk premium,...
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Market participants' forecasts of future exchange rate volatility can be recovered from option contracts on foreign … currencies. Such implicit volatility forecasts for four currencies are used to test rational expectations jointly with the … version of market rationality: the market can correctly forecast the direction of the change in exchange rate volatility. This …
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