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Market participants' forecasts of future exchange rate volatility can be recovered from option contracts on foreign … currencies. Such implicit volatility forecasts for four currencies are used to test rational expectations jointly with the … version of market rationality: the market can correctly forecast the direction of the change in exchange rate volatility. This …
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Market participants' forecasts of future exchange rate volatility can be recovered from option contracts on foreign … currencies. Such implicit volatility forecasts for four currencies are used to test rational expectations jointly with the … version of market rationality: the market can correctly forecast the direction of the change in exchange rate volatility. This …
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