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We investigate the properties of exchange rate forecasts with a data set encompassing a broad cross section of currencies. The key finding is that expectations appear to be biased in our sample. This result is robust to the possibility of random measurement error in the survey measures....
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; meanwhile private sector forecasters were not subject to this crude bias. As a result, using private sector forecasts as an … input into the government budgeting-making process would probably reduce official forecast errors for budget deficits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988513
; meanwhile private sector forecasters were not subject to this crude bias. As a result, using private sector forecasts as an … input into the government budgeting-making process would probably reduce official forecast errors for budget deficits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456327
; meanwhile private sector forecasters were not subject to this crude bias. As a result, the budget-making process could probably …
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