The most up-to-date and accessible guide to one of the fastest growing areas in financial analysis by one of Europes's leading teaching and researching teams. This classroom-tested advanced undergraduate and graduate textbook provides an in-depth treatment of non-linear models, including...

This paper develops a return forecasting methodology that allows for instabil ity in the relationship between stock returns and predictor variables, for model uncertainty, and for parameter estimation uncertainty. The predictive regres sion speci¯cation that is put forward allows for occasional...