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The Bass (1969) diffusion theory often guides the construction of forecasting models for new product diffusion. To …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731143
are also often considered for forecasting market shares. The econometric analysis of the market share attraction model has … not received much attention. Topics as specification, diagnostics, estimation and forecasting have not been thoroughly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731153
part focus on the development of models and methods for forecasting. The key question was whether one believes that the … forecasting discipline has made progress in the last three decades. Amongst various results, the most important one is that modest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731593
Many companies collect stated preference data (SP) like intentions and satisfaction as well as revealed preference data (RP) like actual purchasing behavior. It seems relevant to examine the predictive usefulness of this information for future revealed preferences, that is, customer behavior. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731640
we examine the forecasting performance of various models for seasonality and nonlinearity using quarterly industrial … production series for 17 OECD countries. We find that forecasting performance varies widely across series, across forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731660
In business and in macroeconomics it is common practice to use econo- metric models to generate forecasts. These models can take any degree of sophistication. Sometimes it is felt by an expert that the model-based fore- cast needs adjustment. This paper makes a plea for a formal approach to such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731718
With the advent of advanced data collection techniques, there is an increased interest in using econometric models to support decisions in marketing. Due to the sometimes specific nature of variables in marketing, the discipline uses econometric models that are rarely, if ever, used elsewhere....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731719
This paper is concerned with forecasting univariate seasonal time series data using periodic autoregressive models. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731727
found to perform better in out-of-sample forecasting than a benchmark linear model. An empirical illustration for US GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731787
forecasting study. We include both single equation and multiple equation methods. A VAR model in first differences with and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731813