Showing 1 - 10 of 336
A key application of long memory time series models concerns inflation. Long memory implies that shocks have a long … such level shifts are not unlikely for inflation, where the shifts may be caused by sudden oil price shocks, we examine … whether evidence for long memory (indicated by the relevance of an ARFIMA model) in G7 inflation rates is spurious or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014184339
For many developing countries, historical inflation figures are rarely available. We propose a simple method that aims … to recover such figures of inflation using prices of postage stamps issued in earlier years. We illustrate our method for … Suriname, where annual inflation rates are available for 1961 until 2015, and where fluctuations in inflation rates are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011854870
For many developing countries, historical inflation figures are rarely available. We propose a simple method that aims … to recover such figures of inflation using prices of postage stamps issued in earlier years. We illustrate our method for … Suriname, where annual inflation rates are available for 1961 until 2015, and where fluctuations in inflation rates are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610987
A key application of long memory time series models concerns inflation. Long memory implies that shocks have a long … such level shifts are not unlikely for inflation, where the shifts may be caused by sudden oil price shocks, we examine … whether evidence for long memory (indicated by the relevance of an ARFIMA model) in G7 inflation rates is spurious or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612952
We analyze output growth risk with respect to financial conditions across U.S. manufacturing industries. Using a multi-level quantile regression approach, we find strong heterogeneity in growth risk, particularly between the more vulnerable durable goods sector and the more resilient nondurable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229404
We analyze output growth risk with respect to financial conditions across U.S. manufacturing industries. Using a multi-level quantile regression approach, we find strong heterogeneity in growth risk, particularly between the more vulnerable durable goods sector and the more resilient nondurable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510760
We analyze output growth risk with respect to financial conditions across U.S. manufacturing industries. Using a multi-level quantile regression approach, we find strong heterogeneity in growth risk, particularly between the more vulnerable durable goods sector and the more resilient nondurable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012606002
Macroeconomic time series such as total unemployment or total industrial production concern data which are aggregated across regions, sectors, or age categories. In this paper we examine if forecasts for these aggregates can be improved by considering panel models for the disaggregate series. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731641
We introduce a multi-level smooth transition model for a panel of time series variables, which can be used to examine the presence of common non-linear features across many such variables. The model is positioned in between a fully pooled model, which imposes such common features, and a fully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731909
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001902836