Showing 1 - 10 of 19
This paper analyzes the role of contagion in the currency crises in emerging markets during the 1990s. It employs a non …: contagion, weak economic fundamentals, and sunspots, i.e. unobservable shifts in agents’ beliefs. Testing this model empirically … through Markov-switching and panel data models reveals that contagion--a high degree of real integration and financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005035523
This paper develops a new Early Warning System (EWS) model for predicting financial crises, based on a multinomial logit model. It is shown that EWS approaches based on binomial discrete-dependent-variable models can be subject to what we call a post-crisis bias. This bias arises when no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604191
This paper develops a new Early Warning System (EWS) model for predicting financial crises, based on a multinomial logit model. It is shown that EWS approaches based on binomial discrete-dependent-variable models can be subject to what we call a post-crisis bias. This bias arises when no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530922
This paper develops a new Early Warning System (EWS) model for predicting financial crises, based on a multinomial logit model. It is shown that EWS approaches based on binomial discrete-dependent-variable models can be subject to what we call a post-crisis bias. This bias arises when no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005232504
indicative of contagion. While we find evidence of contagion from the U.S. and the global financial sector, the effects are small …. By contrast, there has been substantial contagion from domestic markets to individual domestic portfolios, with its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328201
unexplained increases in factor loadings as indicative of contagion. We find evidence of systematic contagion from US markets and … contagion from domestic equity markets to individual domestic equity portfolios, with its severity inversely related to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605427
debt crisis. It shows that a deterioration in countries’ fundamentals and fundamentals contagion – a sharp rise in the … spreads during the crisis, not only for euro area countries but globally. By contrast, regional spill overs and contagion have … been less important, including for euro area countries. The paper also finds evidence for herding contagion – sharp …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605670
tests for contagion (i.e., an intensification in the transmission of shocks across countries), fragmentation (a reduction in …, Italy and Spain became more interdependent after the OMT announcement, providing our only evidence of contagion. While this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010520526
tests for contagion (i.e., an intensification in the transmission of shocks across countries), fragmentation (a reduction in …, Italy and Spain became more interdependent after the OMT announcement, providing our only evidence of contagion. While this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010519824
indicative of contagion. While we find evidence of contagion from the U.S. and the global financial sector, the effects are small …. By contrast, there has been substantial contagion from domestic markets to individual domestic portfolios, with its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229208