Using data for the trades of 19 central banks intervening in currency markets, we show that stabilization policies by individual central banks lead to "systematic intervention" patterns. This systematic intervention is driven by and impacts on the same factors that drive currency excess returns:...

No empirical evidence has yet emerged for the existence of a robust positive relationship between financial openness and economic growth. This paper argues that a key reason for the elusive evidence is the presence of a time-varying relationship between openness and growth over time: countries...

Warum wir über Geld reden müssen. Kaum ein Thema wird hierzulande so emotional diskutiert wie die Frage um Geld und Schulden. Die Deutschen sind Sparweltmeister, viele haben Angst vor Inflation und Verschuldung. In einer fundierten Analyse deckt Marcel Fratzscher auf, warum wir uns oft...

This paper provides an empirical test of the scapegoat theory of exchange rates (Bacchetta and van Wincoop 2004, 2011), as an attempt to evaluate its potential for explaining the poor empirical performance of traditional exchange rate models. This theory suggests that market participants may at...

The paper analyses the empirical relationship between bank credit risk and sovereign credit risk in the euro area, using a system of simultaneous equations identified through heteroskedasticity. We first confirm a two-way causality between both risks, which amplifies initial credit risk shocks....

The paper analyses the empirical relationship between bank risk and sovereign credit risk in the euro area. Using structural VAR with daily financial markets data for 2003-13, the analysis confirms two-way causality between shocks to sovereign risk and bank risk, with the former being overall...