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This paper develops behavioral relationships explaining investors' demands for long-term bonds, using three alternative hypotheses about investors' expectations of future bond prices (yields). The results, based on U.S. 'data for six major categories of bond market investors, consistently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478678
Among the numerous familiar sets of specific assumptions sufficient to derive mean-variance portfolio behavior from more general expected utility maximization in continuous time, the assumptions of constant relative risk aversion and joint normally distributed asset return assessments are also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478803
The results presented below demonstrate that the structural modeling approach to interest rate determination not only stands apart from the sectoral disaggregation question conceptually but also performs fairly well without sectoral disaggregation empirically. This paper presents estimation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478856
The prevailing view of the economic consequences of financing government deficits, as reflected in the recent economics literature and in recent public policy debates, reflects serious misunderstandings. Debt-financed deficits need not "crowd out" any private investment, and may even "crowd in"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478866
nominal interest rates and expected price inflation, portfolio behavior is the most plausibly flexible in the short run. Since … important lenders' portfolio behavior can be in bringing about the adjustment of interest rates which Fisher's theory associates … with expected inflation. Given the importance of this adjustment for questions of both monetary theory and monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478903
The ratio of outstanding debt to gross national product in the United States has shown essentially no time trend over a period measured not in years but in decades. The research reported in this paper indicates that lenders' portfolio behavior exhibits characteristics that could provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762966
nominal interest rates and expected price inflation, portfolio behavior is the most plausibly flexible in the short run. Since … important lenders' portfolio behavior can be in bringing about the adjustment of interest rates which Fisher's theory associates … with expected inflation. Given the importance of this adjustment for questions of both monetary theory and monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763220
This paper develops behavioral relationships explaining investors' demands for long-term bonds, using three alternative hypotheses about investors' expectations of future bond prices (yields). The results, based on U.S. 'data for six major categories of bond market investors, consistently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763222
The threat to monetary policy from the electronic revolution in banking is the possibility of a decoupling' of the operations of the central bank from markets in which financial claims are created and transacted in ways that, at some operative margin, affect the decisions of households and firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763283
theory, which has focused on central banks' liabilities, the basis for the effectiveness of central bank asset purchases … turns on the role of the asset side of the central bank's balance sheet. The implications for monetary theory are profound …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458536