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relationship. First, results indicate that five of the six major categories of investors in the U.S. long-term bond market reduce …-equilibrium experiments indicate that ,with all other things unchanged, this response by investors will raise the equilibrium nominal bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763220
hypotheses about investors' expectations of future bond prices (yields). The results, based on U.S. 'data for six major … categories of bond market investors, consistently support an autoregressive expectations model. The results also have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763222
the truism that any factor affecting long-term bond yields does so by (and only by) influencing some borrower's supply of … bonds and/or some lender's demand for bonds. Rather than model the bond yield directly, as in the single-equation term …-structure approach, this work instead models the supply of and the demand for bonds ,and determines the bond yield at the level necessary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220969
disaggregated model of the determination of bond yields developed in Friedman (1977; 1979). Instead of six bond demand and two bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232031
The object of this paper is to test several familiar hypotheses about the relationship between the forward rates implied by the term structure and interest rate expectations, using the one ongoing systematic survey that samples market participants' expectations. The substitution of survey data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323586
This paper summarizes some recent work in which we have modeled long-term interest rate determination in an explicit demand-supply context, using multi-equation structural models and directly contrasts such models with unrestricted reduced-form models. Wholly apart from questions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478512
hypotheses about investors' expectations of future bond prices (yields). The results, based on U.S. 'data for six major … categories of bond market investors, consistently support an autoregressive expectations model. The results also have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478678
the truism that any factor affecting long-term bond yields does so by (and only by) influencing some borrower's supply of … bonds and/or some lender's demand for bonds. Rather than model the bond yield directly, as in the single-equation term …-structure approach, this work instead models the supply of and the demand for bonds ,and determines the bond yield at the level necessary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478782