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Disagreement among forecasters in G7 countries
Dovern, Jonas; Fritsche, Ulrich; Slacalek, Jirka - 2009
Using the Consensus Economics dataset with individual expert forecasts from G7 countries we investigate determinants of disagreement (crosssectional dispersion of forecasts) about six key economic indicators. Disagreement about real variables (GDP, consumption, investment and unemployment) has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425866
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Disagreement among forecasters in G7 countries
Dovern, Jonas; Fritsche, Ulrich; Slacalek, Jirka - 2009
Using the Consensus Economics dataset with individual expert forecasts from G7 countries we investigate determinants of disagreement (crosssectional dispersion of forecasts) about six key economic indicators. Disagreement about real variables (GDP, consumption, investment and unemployment) has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963738
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Disagreement among forecasters in G7 countries
Dovern, Jonas; Fritsche, Ulrich; Slacalek, Jirka - In: The review of economics and statistics 94 (2012) 4, pp. 1081-1096
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009668430
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Forecasting the Euro : do forecasters have an asymmetric loss function?
Fritsche, Ulrich; Pierdzioch, Christian; Ruelke, … - 2012
function of a sample of exchange rate forecasters is asymmetric in the forecast error. Using forecasts of the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425217
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Forecasting the Brazilian Real and the Mexican Peso : asymmetric loss, forecast rationality, and forecaster herding
Fritsche, Ulrich; Pierdzioch, Christian; Ruelke, … - 2012
data of exchange-rate forecasts look rational, and the loss function seems to depend not only on the forecast error. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425218
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Too many cooks? : the German joint diagnosis and its production
Fritsche, Ulrich; Heilemann, Ullrich - 2010
The "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose" [Joint Diagnosis (JD)] is the most influential semi-annual macroeconomic forecast in … forecasts to influence the JD forecast? Results show that there is no strong evidence of bias or inefficiency of the institutes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425226
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Indikatoren zur Prognose der Investitionen in Deutschland
Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Gottschalk, Jan; … - 1999
betrachtet. Es zeigt sich, daß eine Reihe von Indikatoren für eine kurzfristige Prognose geeignet sind, daß aber eine Prognose … forecast horizons or for the prediction of turning points …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011495601
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Forecasters and rationality : a comment on Fritsche et al., Forecasting the Brazilian Real and Mexican Peso ; asymmetric loss, forecast rationality and forecaster herding
Fildes, Robert - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 1, pp. 140-143
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327376
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Forecasting the Brazilian Real and the Mexican Peso : asymmetric loss, forecast rationality, and forecaster herding
Fritsche, Ulrich; Pierdzioch, Christian; Ruelke, … - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 1, pp. 130-139
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327408
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On the directional accuarcy of survey forecasts : the case of gold and silver
Fritsche, Ulrich; Pierdzioch, Christian; Ruelke, … - In: Applied economics letters 20 (2013) 10/12, pp. 1127-1129
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010197013