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This paper presents a new database for financial crises in European countries, which serves as an important step towards establishing a common ground for macroprudential oversight and policymaking in the EU. The database focuses on providing precise chronological definitions of crisis periods to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984884
This paper proposes a framework for deriving early-warning models with optimal out-of-sample forecasting properties and … specification with optimal real-time out-of-sample forecasting properties. Third, the paper illustrates how the modeling framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142026
This paper proposes a framework for deriving early-warning models with optimal out-of-sample forecasting properties and … specification with optimal real-time out-of-sample forecasting properties. Third, the paper illustrates how the modeling framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011920949
This paper presents a new database for financial crises in European countries, which serves as an important step towards establishing a common ground for macroprudential oversight and policymaking in the EU. The database focuses on providing precise chronological definitions of crisis periods to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011698592
This paper presents a new database for financial crises in European countries, which serves as an important step towards establishing a common ground for macroprudential oversight and policymaking in the EU. The database focuses on providing precise chronological definitions of crisis periods to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011972947
improves the performance of discrete choice models in forecasting systemic events. Our framework shows a good out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640687
improves the performance of discrete choice models in forecasting systemic events. Our framework shows a good out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008918567
of the models, the policymaker’s preferences, and the forecasting horizon. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009251250
The aim of this paper is to introduce modern mapping techniques to the finance community. Mapping techniques provide means for representing high-dimensional data on low-dimensional displays. This paper lays out a methodology called the Self-Organizing Financial Stability Map (SOFSM) based upon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702750
This paper introduces a new loss function and Usefulness measure for evaluating early warning systems (EWSs) that incorporate policymakers’ preferences between issuing false alarms and missing crises, and individual observations. The novelty derives from three enhancements: (i) accounting for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010662389