In this paper, we calculate the potential output and the output gap using a Bayesian-estimated DSGE model of Japan's economy. The model is a two-sector growth model that takes into account growth rate shocks including investment-goods sector-specific technological progress. For bridging the gap...

In this paper, we assess the effects of fiscal policy in Japan using two dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. One is a medium-scale DSGE model of Japan's economy ("M-JEM," Fueki et al., 2010) estimated using Bayesian techniques. The other is the IMF's multi-region "GIMF (Global...

In this paper, we estimate time-varying biases of technical change and their effects on productivity using econometric models of aggregate and industry-level technology in Japan. In our aggregate model, the bias of technical change for energy input was energy-saving in the 1980s but gradually...

This paper provides a brief explanation and a detailed documentation of the current version of the Quarterly Japanese Economic Model (Q-JEM), which has been developed and constantly updated since the mid-2000s at Research and Statistics Department, Bank of Japan. Q-JEM is a large-scale...

Economists at central banks and in academia have made various efforts to measure potential growth, something that cannot be observed directly. This review introduces some of these estimation techniques and applies them to the Japanese data. The estimates of the potential growth rate can differ...

How do financial factors due to credit-market imperfections affect economic fluctuations? This paper calibrates a dynamic general equilibrium model incorporating credit-market imperfections using Japanese data. The model exhibits financial accelerator effects, the mechanism whereby credit-market...