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We consider investors with mean-variance-skewness preferences who aim at selecting one out of F different funds and combining it optimally with the riskless asset and direct stock holdings. Direct stock holdings are either exogenously or endogenously determined. In our theoretical section, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009486445
The estimation of expected security returns is one of the major tasks for the practical implementation of the Markowitz portfolio optimization. Against this background, in 1992 Black and Litterman developed an approach based on (theoretically established) expected equili-brium returns which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487257
We show analytically under quite general conditions that time-varying implied rates of return based on analysts' earnings forecasts are only a downward biased estimator for future expected one-period returns and therefore not suited for computing market risk premia in order to resolve the equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095127
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003375411
We show analytically under quite general conditions that implied rates of return based on analysts' earnings forecasts are only a downward biased estimator for future expected one-period returns and therefore not suited for computing market risk premia. The extent of this bias is substantial as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487229
Several attempts have been made to reduce the impact of estimation errors on the optimal portfolio composition. On the one hand, improved estimators of the necessary moments have been developed and on the other hand, heuristic methods have been generated to enhance the portfolio performance, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487235
market expectations. -- analysts' forecasts ; CAPM ; implied returns ; market risk premium ; portfolio optimization ; return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487262
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958711
Several attempts have been made to reduce the impact of estimation errors on the optimal portfolio composition. On the one hand, improved estimators of the necessary moments have been developed and on the other hand, heuristic methods have been generated to enhance the portfolio performance, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940748
The most relevant practical impediment to an application of the Markowitz portfolio selection approach is the problem of estimating return moments, in particular return expectations. We analyze the consequences of using return estimates implied by analysts' dividend forecasts under the explicit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010307943