The recent boom and bust in commodity prices has renewed the policymakers’ interest in three complementary issues: i) characteristics and determinants of commodity price instability, ii) its macroeconomic effects and, iii) the optimal policy responses to this instability. This work falls...

L’Ukraine et la Biélorussie ont été touchées par la crise financière internationale depuis l’automne 2008. Ces deux économies en transition sont relativement proches en termes de structure productive, mais l’Ukraine est plus ouverte financièrement. Une première analyse suggère...

This article investigates the causes of the deflation which occurs in China since 1998. The analysis is based on a theoretical model which addresses supply shocks as well as demand shocks and on the estimation of a reduced equation of consumer prices variations for the period 1986-2002, the...

On July 21, China slightly revalued the Renminbi and officially modified the exchange rate regime. Interpreting this move as only the outcome of international pressures to reduce international trade imbalances is however misleading. To support our argument, we explore the rationale of the July...

Following a series of debt cancellations, the public debt of many developing countries has reached low levels. These countries are being urged to extent public spending to reach The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), but can not exclusively rely on external financing. Consequently, is an...

This paper establishes a link between deforestation and credit cycles in Latin American countries. The latter exhibit rapid deforestation rates as well as macroeconomic instability that is often rooted in credit booms and crunches episodes: data available on the last years show a coincidence...

Developing countries are being urged to extent public spending to reach The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). Following a series of debt cancellations, the public debt of many developing countries has reached low levels, so that external borrowing is a plausible option. However, developing...

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L’objectif de l’étude est d’analyser la relation entre l’aide au développement et le prélèvement public. Il s’agit de d’évaluer si l’aide incite les pays receveurs à réduire leur taux de prélèvement, autrement dit s’il existe en effet d’éviction des recettes publiques...

The impact of exchange policy on macroeconomic targets (growth, inflation…) is rather difficult to assess empirically. There is a lack of accurate quantitative tools to define the strategy used, then a dummy variable (fixed or floating rate) is generally used in econometric studies. This paper...