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We estimate the response of stock prices to monetary policy shocks using a time-varying coefficients VAR. Our evidence points to protracted episodes in which stock prices end up increasing persistently in response to an exogenous tightening of monetary policy. That response is at odds with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107227
This paper reviews the recent literature on monetary policy rules. To organize the discussion, we exposit the monetary policy design problem within a simple baseline theoretical framework. We then consider the implications of adding various real word complications. We concentrate on developing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014197574
Much recent research has focused on the development and analysis of extensions of the New Keynesianframework that model labor market frictions and unemployment explicitly. The present paper describessome of the essential ingredients and properties of those models, and their implications for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005870350
I discuss several lessons regarding the design and conduct of monetary policy that have emerged out of the New Keynesian research program. Those lessons include the benefits of price stability, the gains from commitment about future policies, the importance of natural variables as benchmarks for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724951
We study how changes in the value of the steady-state real interest rate affect the optimal inflation target, both in the U.S. and the euro area, using an estimated New Keynesian DSGE model that incorporates the zero (or effective) lower bound on the nominal interest rate. We find that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012923602
We address this question using an estimated New Keynesian DSGE model of the Euro Areawith trend inflation, imperfect indexation, and a lower bound on the nominal interest rate. Inthis setup, a decrease in the steady-state real interest rate, r*, increases the probability ofhitting the lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226288
We address the question in this paper's title using an estimated New Keynesian DSGE model of the euro area with trend inflation, imperfect indexation, and a lower bound on the nominal interest rate. In this setup, a decrease in the steady-state real interest rate, r*, increases the probability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815104
We analyze the welfare impact of greater wage flexibility while taking into account explicitly the existence of the zero lower bound (ZLB) constraint on the nominal interest rate. We show that the ZLB constraint generally amplifies the adverse effects of greater wage flexibility on welfare when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990051
This paper evaluates new evidence on price setting practices and inflation persistence in the euro area with respect to its implications for macro modelling. It argues that several of the most commonly used assumptions in micro-founded macro models are seriously challenged by the new findings
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014225417
We lay out a tractable model for fiscal and monetary policy analysis in a currency union, and analyze its implications for the optimal design of such policies. Monetary policy is conducted by a common central bank, which sets the interest rate for the union as a whole. Fiscal policy is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014060424