When are litigants' statistical estimates legally sufficient, given that courts use the preponderance of the evidence standard? We answer this question using Bayesian hypothesis testing and principles of federal procedural law, focusing on the common case of statistical estimation evidence from...

The relationship between legal standards of proof and thresholds of statistical significance is a well-known and studied phenomena in the academic literature. Moreover, the distinction between the two has been recognized in law. For example, in Matrix v. Siracusano, the Court unanimously...