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We introduce a new type of incentive contract for central bankers: inflation forecast contracts, which make central … bankers’ remunerations contingent on the precision of their inflation forecasts. We show that such contracts enable central … bankers to influence inflation expectations more effectively, thus facilitating more successful stabilization of current …
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Evidence suggests that banks tend to lend a lot during booms, and very little during recessions. We propose a simple explanation for this phenomenon. We show that, instead of dampening productivity shocks, the banking sector tends to exacerbate them, leading to excessive fluctuations of credit,...
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