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Inflation Forecast Contracts
Gersbach, Hans; Hahn, Volker - 2011
We introduce a new type of incentive contract for central bankers: inflation forecast contracts, which make central bankers’ remunerations contingent on the precision of their inflation forecasts. We show that such contracts enable central bankers to influence inflation expectations more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014179421
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Capital regulation and credit fluctuations
Gersbach, Hans; Rochet, Jean-Charles - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621823
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Capital regulation and credit fluctuations
Gersbach, Hans; Rochet, Jean-Charles - In: Macroprudentialism, (pp. 89-95). 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507360
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Default risk in stochastic volatility models
Gersbach, Hans; Surulescu, Nicolae Mircea - 2010 - This version: June 2010
We consider a stochastic volatility model of the mean-reverting type to describe the evolution of a firm’s values … default probability. Our simulation results indicate that the stochastic volatility model tends to predict higher default … probabilities than the corresponding Merton model if a firm’s credit quality is not too low. Otherwise the stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008748331
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Default Risk in Stochastic Volatility Models
Gersbach, Hans - 2010
We consider a stochastic volatility model of the mean-reverting type to describe the evolution of a firm's values … default probability. Our simulation results indicate that the stochastic volatility model tends to predict higher default … probabilities than the corresponding Merton model if a firm's credit quality is not too low. Otherwise the stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138808
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Capital regulation and credit fluctuations
Gersbach, Hans; Rochet, Jean-Charles - In: Journal of monetary economics 90 (2017), pp. 113-124
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799237
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Default probabilities and default correlations
Gersbach, Hans - 2001 - First Version: April 2000, This Version: October 2001
Starting from the Merton framework for firm defaults, we provide the analytics and robustness of the relationship between default correlations. We show that loans with higher default probabilities will not only have higher variances but also higher correlations between loans. As a consequence,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503718
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Default probabilities and default correlations
Erlenmaier, Ulrich; Gersbach, Hans - 2001
Starting from the Merton framework for firm defaults, we provide the analytics and robustness of the relationship between default correlations. We show that loans with higher default probabilities will not only have higher variances but also higher correlations between loans. As a consequence,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301737
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Volatility and resilience of democratic public-good provision
Gersbach, Hans; Pitsuwan, Fikri; Bolgè, Giovanni Valvassori - 2024
legislature is, the higher is the volatility of public-good provision and the longer it may take for a society to recover from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500614
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Default Risk in Stochastic Volatility Models
Gersbach, Hans; Surulescu, Nicolae - 2010
We consider a stochastic volatility model of the mean-reverting type to describe the evolution of a firm’s values … default probability. Our simulation results indicate that the stochastic volatility model tends to predict higher default … probabilities than the corresponding Merton model if a firm’s credit quality is not too low. Otherwise the stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753195