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We consider a stochastic volatility model of the mean-reverting type to describe the evolution of a firm’s values … default probability. Our simulation results indicate that the stochastic volatility model tends to predict higher default … probabilities than the corresponding Merton model if a firm’s credit quality is not too low. Otherwise the stochastic volatility …
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We develop a model to rationalize and examine so-called “research bubbles”, i.e. research activities based on overoptimistic beliefs about the impact of this research on the economy. Research bubbles occur when researchers selfselect into research activities and the government aggregates the...
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