Uncertainty about the export earnings accruing to a country (sometimes referred to as export instability) is an important source of macroeconomic uncertainty in many developing countries. Theory predicts that countries should react to increases in this form of uncertainty by increasing their...

This paper analyzes the management of surges in capital inflows to Emerging Markets. It reviews the main policy tools, including fiscal and monetary policy, exchange rate policy, foreign exchange market intervention, domestic prudential regulation, and capital controls. A key conclusion is that,...

We examine whether macroprudential policies and capital controls can enhance financial stability in the face of the risks typically associated with large capital inflows. We construct new indices of foreign currency (FX)-related prudential measures, domestic prudential measures, and...

We examine how membership in a currency union affects public debt sustainability and market assessments of default risk in eurozone countries. We argue that there exist offsetting effects: expectations of bailouts tend to make a given level of debt more sustainable, lowering bond yields and CDS...

[eng] Policy advice to emerging market countries in the current crisis : what’s new ? what’s different ? why ? . IMF policy advice to EMEs in this crisis has been differed from that provided in previous EME crises. But these differences are largely driven by changed circumstances. Many EMEs...

Popular perception is that emerging market economies (EMEs), and Asian Pacific Rim countries—China, Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam (RIMs)—in particular, have been rapidly accumulating reserves, perhaps beyond what is justified by precautionary motives. This...