Showing 1 - 10 of 101
A typical MIDAS regression involves estimating parameters via nonlinear least squares, unless U-MIDAS is applied - which involves OLS - the latter being appealing when the sampling frequency differences are small. In this paper we propose to use OLS estimation of the MIDAS regression slope and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983387
This paper uses structured machine learning regressions for nowcasting with panel data consisting of series sampled at different frequencies. Motivated by the problem of predicting corporate earnings for a large cross-section of firms with macroeconomic, financial, and news time series sampled...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492089
Multi-period-ahead forecasts of returns' variance are used in most areas of applied finance where long horizon measures of risk are necessary. Yet, the major focus in the variance forecasting literature has been on one-period-ahead forecasts. In this paper, we compare several approaches of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976983
Multi-period forecasts of stock market return volatilities are often used in many applied areas of finance where long horizon measures of risk are necessary. Yet, very little is known about how to forecast variances several periods ahead, as most of the focus has been placed on one-period ahead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712447
This paper introduces structured machine learning regressions for prediction and nowcasting with panel data consisting of series sampled at different frequencies. Motivated by the empirical problem of predicting corporate earnings for a large cross-section of firms with macroeconomic, financial,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826088
The early work of Tobin (1958) showed that portfolio allocation decisions can be reduced to a two stage process: first decide the relative allocation of assets across the risky assets, and second decide how to divide total wealth between the risky assets and the safe asset. This so called...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279966
The early work of Tobin (1958) showed that portfolio allocation decisions can be reduced to a two stage process: first decide the relative allocation of assets across the risky assets, and second decide how to divide total wealth between the risky assets and the safe asset. This so called...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005220952
The early work of Tobin (1958) showed that portfolio allocation decisions can be reduced to a two stage process: first decide the relative allocation of assets across the risky assets, and second decide how to divide total wealth between the risky assets and the safe asset. This so called...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003711697
Understanding the dynamics of interest rates and the term structure has important implications for issues as diverse as real economic activity, monetary policy, pricing of interest rate derivative securities and public debt financing. Our paper follows a longstanding tradition of using factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100562
Much of the research describing the cross-sectional and time series behavior of asset returns can be characterized as a search for the relevant state variables and also a search for the relevant model specification. Ultimately the scope of such efforts is to find a satisfactory and stable asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100814