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Explaining the great moderation : it is not the shocks

Giannone, Domenico; Lenza, Michele; Reichlin, Lucrezia - In: Journal of the European Economic Association 6 (2008) 2/3, pp. 621-633

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003725649

Business cycles in the euro area

Giannone, Domenico; Lenza, Michele; Reichlin, Lucrezia - 2009

per-capita GDP growth since 1999 has been lower than what could have been predicted on the basis of historical experience …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831782

Business cycles in the euro area

Giannone, Domenico; Lenza, Michele; Reichlin, Lucrezia - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790732

Short-term forecasts of euro area GDP growth

Angelini, Elena; Camba-Méndez, Gonzalo; Giannone, Domenico - 2008

This paper evaluates models that exploit timely monthly releases to compute early estimates of current quarter GDP (now-casting) in the euro area. We compare traditional methods used at institutions with a new method proposed by Giannone, Reichlin, and Small (2005). The method consists in...