Stationary I(0) models employed in yield curve analysis typically imply an unrealistically low degree of volatility in long-run short-rate expectations due to fast mean reversion. In this paper we propose a novel multivariate affine term structure model with a two-fold source of persistence in...

This paper examines several US monthly financial time series using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The univariate analysis based on fractional integration aims to determine whether the series are I(1) (in which case markets might be efficient) or alternatively I(d) with <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$d...</equationsource></inlineequation>

This paper deals with the analysis of several commodity prices in India using an approach based on fractional integration and focusing on the degree of persistence of the series. We examine seven agricultural prices: rice, wheat, maize, bajra, jowar, black gram and arhar. The results can be...

This study examines the time series behaviour of several Angolan macroeconomic variables, using monthly data from August 1996 to June 2011. The series are the inflation rate, M1, M2, the exchange rate at the beginning and the end of the period, and the monthly average exchange rate. In the first...

This article examines the persistence of unemployment in the USA and four European countries by means of fractionally integrated ARMA (ARFIMA) models. In doing so, a type of flexibility in modelling low-frequency dynamics not achieved by non-fractionally ARIMA models can be provided. The results...

In this article, we use fractional integration techniques to examine the degree of integration of four US stock market indices, namely the Standard and Poor (S&P), Dow Jones, Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), at a daily frequency from January 2005 till December 2009. We analyse the...

This article analyses the long memory properties of quarterly real output per capita in the US (1948Q1–2008Q3) using non-parametric, semi-parametric and parametric techniques. The results vary substantially depending on the methodology employed. Evidence of mean reversion is obtained in a...

This paper examines long-term price overreactions in various financial markets (commodities, US stock market and FOREX). First, t-tests are carried out for overreactions as a statistical phenomenon. Second, a trading robot approach is applied to test the profitability of two alternative...

This paper provides some new empirical evidence on the weekend effect (one of the best known anomalies in financial markets) in Ukrainian futures prices. The analysis uses various statistical techniques (average analysis, Student's t-test, dummy variables, and fractional integration) to test for...

This paper examines persistence in the Ukrainian stock market during the recent financial crisis. Using two different long memory approaches (R/S analysis and fractional integration) we show that this market is inefficient and the degree of persistence is not the same in different stages of the...