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We elicit numerical expectations for late-onset dementia in the Health and Retirement Study. Our elicitation distinguishes between precise and imprecise probabilities, while accounting for rounding of reports. Respondents quantify imprecision using probability intervals. Nearly half of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865744
A growing number of surveys elicit respondents' expectations for future events on a 0-100 scale of percent chance. These data reveal substantial heaping at multiples of 10 and 5 percent, suggesting that respondents round their reports. This paper studies the nature of rounding by analyzing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920364
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012878296
We elicit numerical expectations for late-onset dementia in the Health and Retirement Study. Our elicitation distinguishes between precise and imprecise probabilities, while accounting for rounding of reports. Respondents quantify imprecision using probability intervals. Nearly half of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480071
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012099476
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862648
A growing number of surveys elicit respondents' expectations for future events on a 0-100 scale of percent chance. These data reveal substantial heaping at multiples of 10 and 5 percent, suggesting that respondents round their reports. This paper studies the nature of rounding by analyzing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453157
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013441985