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The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions : a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach

Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Segnon, Mawuli - 2016

This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MS-VAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554324

Real estate returns predictability revisited : novel evidence from the US REITs market

Akinsomi, Omokolade; Aye, Goodness C.; Babalos, Vassilios; … - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 51 (2016) 3, pp. 1165-1190

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554410

Causality between US economic policy and equity market uncertainties : evidence from linear and nonlinear tests

Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen; Aye, Goodness C.; Balcilar, Mehmet; … - In: Journal of applied economics 18 (2015) 2, pp. 225-246

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554957

Regime switching model of US crude oil and stock market prices : 1859 to 2013

Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Miller, Stephen M. - In: Energy economics 49 (2015), pp. 317-327

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011537104

Evolving choice inconsistencies in choice of prescription drug insurance

Abaluck, Jason; Gruber, Jonathan - In: The American economic review 106 (2016) 8, pp. 2145-2184

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538680

Casting a long shadow? : cross-border spillovers of shadow economy across American States

Goel, Rajeev K.; Saunoris, James W. - In: Public finance review : PFR 44 (2016) 5, pp. 610-634

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011540601

Insurance fraud and corruption in the United States

Goel, Rajeev K. - In: Applied financial economics 24 (2014) 4/6, pp. 241-246

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398845

What will revive US economic growth? : lessons from a prototype industry-level production account for the United States

Jorgenson, Dale Weldeau; Ho, Mun S.; Samuels, Jon D. - In: Journal of policy modeling : JPMOD ; a social science … 36 (2014) 4, pp. 674-691

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398975

PACking a punch : Political Action Committees and corruption

Goel, Rajeev K. - In: Applied economics 46 (2014) 10/12, pp. 1161-1169

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399372

Whistleblower laws and exposed corruption in the United States

Goel, Rajeev K.; Nelson, Michael A. - In: Applied economics 46 (2014) 19/21, pp. 2331-2341

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417260