This paper seeks, through the estimation of central bank reaction functions for 19 OECD countries in a panel setting, to examine the relationship between certain key target variables and an instrument of monetary policy, namely short-term interest rates. A rolling, reduced form, vector...

With a few unfortunate exceptions the last three decades has seen reductions in inflation round the world to the point that many would argue that further improvements in price stability would offer only limited welfare gains. This experience is the result of many factors, some of which are...

With a few unfortunate exceptions the last three decades have seen reductions in inflation around the world to the point that many would argue that further improvements in price stability would offer only limited welfare gains. This experience is the result of many factors, some of which are...

There is no consensus over the importance of "global forces" on inflation. This study explores the role of structural breaks in the inflation process, and their timing, whether it is common across countries, and the extent to which "global forces" are relevant. Three conclusions stand out....

In this paper we investigate dynamics of global inflation and short-run inflation expectations. We estimate a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model estimated using Bayesian techniques. We then explore the effect of three source of inflationary pressure that could drive up inflation...

Inflation is a monetary policy outcome, but in the short to medium term, price and wage decisions are co-determined by the public and private sectors. Many central banks have adopted transparency as a strategic policy approach, whereby communication of monetary policy goals is used as a public...

This paper considers whether the adoption of inflation targets for Hungary, an emerging market economy, is a desirable option. We consider the qualitative and quantitative pre-conditions required for the successful adoption of inflation control objectives. Although it is found that the National...

This paper examines the persistence of inflation in inflation and non-inflation targeting countries. It is shown empirically that inflation persistence has fallen in inflation targeting countries relative to some non-inflation targeting countries. However, it is not possible to determine at...

Central to the conduct of monetary policy are inflation forecasts. Inflation forecast are not unique. Central banks and professional organizations generate inflation forecasts while households are surveyed about their inflation outlook. This paper estimates inflation forecast disagreement for...

There is no consensus over the importance of “global forces” on inflation. This study explores the role of structural breaks in the inflation process, and their timing, whether it is common across countries, and the extent to which ‘global forces' are relevant. Three conclusions stand out....