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In order to derive closed-form expressions of the prices of credit derivatives, the standard models for credit risk usually price the default intensities but not the default events themselves. The default indicator is replaced by an appropriate prediction and the prediction error, that is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010857720
This paper studies the problem of disentangling risk correlation and contagion in a set of individual binary processes … introducing a dynamic frailty, whereas the contagion passes through the effect of the lagged number of individuals in the bad risk … populations (portfolios). The difficulty to identify risk correlation and contagion in finite samples is illustrated by means of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871016
result either from common exogenous shocks (shared frailty), or from contagion phenomena, which occur when an endogenous … frailty and contagion phenomena, and test for the presence of such dependence effects, according to the age and management … style of the fund. We demonstrate the empirical relevance of our approach by measuring the magnitudes of contagion and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010660002
. It is necessary to analyze the contagion of losses among banks, especially the equilibrium of joint defaults and recovery … are modified by adding a premium to capture the contagion effects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010660005
incorporate business cycles or crises, to introduce contagion, to reproduce zero lower bound spells, or to evaluate the impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746997
There is a growing literature on the possibility to identify correlation and contagion in qualitative risk analysis … dependence are captured by introducing a dynamic frailty, whereas the contagion passes through the effect of the lagged number of … difficulty to identify in finite sample risk correlation and contagion is illustrated by means of Monte-Carlo simulations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010548474
consequences of exogenous shocks on the banking system and we measure contagion phenomena. This approach is illustrated by an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265532
. It is necessary to analyze the contagion of losses among banks, especially the equilibrium of joint defaults and recovery … are modified by adding a premium to capture the contagion effects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265539
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010497742
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010196887