Graefe, Andreas; Armstrong, J. Scott; Jones, Randall J.; … - 2014
, political economy models, and index models to predict the two-party popular vote in the 2012 US presidential election …. Throughout the election year the PollyVote provided highly accurate forecasts, outperforming each of its component methods, as … uncertainty about the election outcome is typically high. The results confirm prior research showing that combining is one of the …