Showing 21 - 30 of 44
We compare the Skiadas approach with the standard Savage framework of choice under uncertainty. At first glance, properties of Skiadas "conditional preferences" such as coherence and disappointment seem analogous to similarly motivated notions of decomposability and disappointment aversion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762719
This paper contains an analysis of a simple principal-agent problem illustrating possible problems that arise when the principal ascribes to the agent subjective probabilities and utilities that are implied by the subjective expected utility model but do not represent the agent's beliefs and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005553517
We characterize the intersection of the probabilistically sophisticated and multiple prior models. We show this class is strictly larger than the subjective expected utility model and that its elements can be generated from a generalized class of the -contaminated priors, which we dub the -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125096
Machina & Schmeidler (1992) show that probabilistic sophistication can be obtained in a Savage setting without imposing expected utility by dropping Savage's axiom P2 (sure-thing principle) and strengthening his axiom P4 (weak comparative probability). Their stronger axiom, however, embodies a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464036
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155403
Savage motivated his Sure Thing Principle by arguing that, whenever an act would be preferred if an event obtains and preferred if that event did not obtain, then it should be preferred overall. The idea that it should be possible to decompose and recompose decision problems in this way has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004990721
We propose a solution concept for a class of extensive form games with ambiguity. Specifically we consider multi-stage games. Players have CEU preferences. The associated ambiguous beliefs are revised by Generalized Bayesian Updating. We assume individuals take account of possible changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853172
This paper shows that, for CEU preferences, the axioms consquentialism, state independenceand conditional certainty equivalent consistency under updating characterise a family of capacities,called Genralised Neo-Additive Capacities (GNAC). This family contains as special casesamong others...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868377
The concept of a non-extreme-outcome-additive capacity (neo-additive capacity ) is introduced.Neo-additive capacitiesmodel optimistic and pessimistic attitudes towards uncertaintyas observed in many experimental studies. Moreover, neo-additive capacities canbe applied easily in economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868474
The concept of a non-extreme-outcome-additive capacity (neo-additive capacity ) is introduced. Neo-additive capacities model optimistic and pessimistic attitudes towards uncertainty as observed in many experimental studies. Moreover, neo-additive capacities can be applied easily in economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011620580