We develop a simple rational model of active portfolio management that provides a natural benchmark against which to evaluate observed relationship between returns and fund flows. We show that many effects widely regarded as anomalous are consistent with this simple explanation. In the model,...

As a consequence of optimal investment choices, firms' assets and growth options change in predictable ways. Using a dynamic model, we show that this imparts predictability to changes in a firm's systematic risk, and its expected return. Simulations show that the model simultaneously reproduces:...

We develop and analyze a model of a multi-stage investment project that captures many features of Ramp;D ventures and start-up companies. An important feature these problems share is that the firm learns about the potential profitability of the project throughout its life, but that...