This paper evaluates the finite sample performance of various tests for cointegration by Monte Carlo methods. The evaluation takes place within the linear quadratic model. The results indicate sharp differences in the tests to detect cointegrating relations especially when the cost of adjustment...

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the tests of Hansen (1991) to detect structural breaks in cointegrated relations using Monte Carlo methods. The evaluation takes place within the linear quadratic model. The evidence for a single regressor suggests that the test have proper size and...

This paper assesses the ability of general equilibrium models of asset pricing using two recently developed sets of preferences to quantitatively account for the observed variability in the Canadian term structure of interest rates. the preference structures are non-expected utility and habit...

Using Kalman filtering and dynamic factor analysis, we decompose fluctuations in real aggregate output, consumption, and investment for the G7 countries into factors that are (i) common across all countries and aggregates, (ii) common across aggregates within a country, and (iii) specific to...

This paper carries out a specification analysis of a test relation for the unbiasedness hypothesis using 30-day forward foreign exchange data from France, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and West Germany. The results indicate that econometric problems exist for each country's test equation....

When coefficients of endogenous variables are known, two-stage least squares and instrumental variables estimators are invariant to the form in which these variables enter computations, as raw data or estimates. Exclusion of instruments and knowledge of coefficients are related to...

Dynamic factor analysis and Kalman filtering are used to construct a measure of common economic activity for the G7 countries. Common movements are important in productivity, but account for a substantially smaller share of movements in investment, and virtually none of the variation in the...

This note illustrates that, under the null hypothesis of no cointegration, the correlation of p-values from a single-equation residual-based test (i.e. ADF, Zt, or Zx) with a system-based test (trace or maximum eigenvalue) is very low. With data generating processes under the null or 'near' it,...

We examine the behavior of forward and spot exchange rates from the perspective of the representative agent theory of asset pricing. We verify that with moderate risk aversion and time-additive preferences the theory accounts for very little (by our calculations, less than 5 percent) of the...

A test of a dynamic, macroeconomic model with free parameters is provided by comparing its features, such as moments, with those of historical data. We provide a method for studying the distribution of the sample moment under the null hypothesis that the model is true. We calculate the size of...