With this paper, our objective is to empirically study public debt sustainability by estimating a fiscal reaction function where the primary balance relative to GDP is assumed to be a function of the public debt to GDP ratio of the previous year and of other macroeconomic variables. In...

In this paper we test whether German public debt has been sustainable by resorting to a test proposed by Bohn (1998). We apply non-parametric and semi-parametric regressions with time depending coefficients. This test shows that the mean of the coefficient relevant for sustainability has been...

The paper presents and estimates an endogenous growth model with public capital. In contrast, however, to recent studies on economic growth and policy, we allow for capital market borrowing by the government. Since the behavior by the government (tax rates, spending and borrowing) does not...

This paper empirically studies non-linearities in debt sustainability analysis by resorting to the modern estimation technique of panel smooth transition regression (PSTR). We assess euro area debt sustainability by analysing the reaction of the primary balance to changes in public debt,...

In this paper we analyze a descriptive endogenous growth model with public debt. The government can run into debt, but, the primary surplus is a positive function of the debt to GDP ratio such that the debt ratio becomes a mean-reverting process. We show that a balanced budget scenario yields a...

This paper studies the relationship between public debt and economic growth for selected emerging markets performing panel data estimations. Several regressor variables are included, but the main focus is on public debt. The results reveal a significant positive correlation between public debt...

We analyze how different budgetary rules affect the stability of an economy in a basic endogenous growth model with public debt and a state-dependent consumption tax rate. We show that a discretionary policy implies that the government violates its inter-temporal budget constraint along a...