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Business surveys modelling with seasonal-cyclical long memory models.

Ferrara, Laurent; Guegan, Dominique - Centre d'Économie de la Sorbonne, Université Paris 1 … - 2008

Business surveys are an important element in the analysis of the short-term economic situation because of the timeliness and nature of the information they convey. Especially, surveys are often involved in econometric models in order to provide an early assessment of the current state of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005510611

Global Economy Continues to Recover in a Fragile Environment

Schreiner, Josef; Schneider, Martin; Riedl, Aleksandra - Oesterreichische Nationalbank

Bank of Japan (BoJ) moved to support the economy by providing ample liquidity and expanding its purchases of securities … central bank responded by raising minimum reserve requirements a few times and by increasing its key monetary policy rates …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734208

The Economy has Bottomed Out

Schreiner, Josef; Silgoner, Maria Antoinette; … - Oesterreichische Nationalbank

perceptibly, while the real estate market is still waiting for a rebound. The U.S. Federal Reserve System and the Bank of Japan … contrast, Chinaâ€™s economy has lost momentum, prompting the Chinese central bank to start easing monetary policy. After the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734214

The Multivariate k-Nearest Neighbor Model for Dependent Variables : One-Sided Estimation and Forecasting

Guegan, Dominique; Rakotomarolahy, Patrick - HAL - 2009

time series An illustration of the method is given through the estimation of economic indicators used to compute the GDP …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738641

Growth Weakens Worldwide

Fenz, Gerhard; Schreiner, Josef; Silgoner, Maria Antoinette - In: Monetary Policy & the Economy (2011) 3, pp. 6-21

Substantial data revisions have shown that the U.S. recession in 2008 to 2009 was far more pronounced than originally estimated, and that the recovery has been slower than previously assumed. Leading indicators signal that growth will stay weak in the second half of 2011. With key interest rates...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011015353

The Economy has Bottomed Out

Schneider, Martin; Schreiner, Josef; Silgoner, Maria … - In: Monetary Policy & the Economy (2012) 1, pp. 5-21

, while the real estate market is still waiting for a rebound. The U.S. Federal Reserve System and the Bank of Japan changed …, China’s economy has lost momentum, prompting the Chinese central bank to start easing monetary policy. After the euro area …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011015392

Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models

Ferrara, Laurent; Guegan, Dominique - HAL - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750631

Euro Area Economy Gains Strength

Pointner, Wolfgang; Schneider, Martin; Schreiner, Josef - In: Monetary Policy & the Economy (2006) 3, pp. 6-23

years. In Japan, the economic recovery gathered enough steam for the Bank of Japan to hike interest rates in July for the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005627560

Inflationary Pressures Worldwide despite Downturn in Growth

Pointner, Wolfgang; Schneider, Martin; Schreiner, Josef - In: Monetary Policy & the Economy (2008) 1, pp. 6-19

The international environment is increasingly being dominated by a cooling global economy. In the U.S.A., the real estate and financial crisis has spilled over to the real economy. Growth in consumer demand has declined, and the deterioration in the labor market suggests a deepening of this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005802583

Euro Area Growth Broad-Based in Early 2006

Fenz, Gerhard; Schreiner, Josef; Silgoner, Maria Antoinette - In: Monetary Policy & the Economy (2007) 1, pp. 12-27

economy, a cut in U.S. interest rates does not appear imminent. In Japan, the economic recovery persisted, leading the Bank of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005802601