Welfare gains to long-horizon investors may derive from time diversification that exploits non-zero intemporal return correlations associated with predictable returns. Real estate may thus become more desirable if its returns are negatively serially correlated. While it could be important for...

The 2007-2008 financial crises has made it painfully obvious that markets may quickly turn illiquid. Moreover, recent experience has shown that distress and lack of active trading can jump around between seemingly unconnected parts of the financial system contributing to transforming isolated...

This paper analyzes the empirical performance of two alternative ways in which multi-factor models with time-varying risk exposures and premia may be estimated. The first method echoes the seminal two-pass approach advocated by Fama and MacBeth (1973). The second approach is based on a Bayesian...

Preface -- The background : channels of contagion in the us financial crisis1 -- Methodology -- The data -- Estimates of single-state var models -- Results from markov switching models -- Estimating and disentangling the contagion channels -- Comparing the us and european contagion experiences...