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COVID-19 Time-varying Reproduction Numbers Worldwide : An Empirical Analysis of Mandatory and Voluntary Social Distancing
Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, Alessandro - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021
This paper estimates time-varying COVID-19 reproduction numbers worldwide solely based on the number of reported infected cases, allowing for under-reporting. Estimation is based on a moment condition that can be derived from an agent-based stochastic network model of COVID-19 transmission. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510508
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A counterfactual economic analysis of Covid-19 using a threshold augmented multi-country model
Chudik, Alexander; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem; … - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533916
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Does climate policy uncertainty affect tourism demand? : evidence from time-varying causality tests
Apergēs, Nikolaos; Gavriilidis, Konstantinos; Gupta, Rangan - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012703087
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A counterfactual economic analysis of Covid-19 using a threshold augmented multi-country model
Chudik, Alexander; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem; … - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012298775
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A counterfactual economic analysis of Covid-19 using a threshold augmented multi-country model
Chudik, Alexander; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem; … - 2020
observations. Our results show that the Covid-19 pandemic will lead to a significant fall in world output that is most likely long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293790
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Oil-price uncertainty and international stock returns : dissecting quantile-based predictability and spillover effects using more than a century of data
Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Pierdzioch, Christian - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166706
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Do climate risks predict US housing returns and volatility? : evidence from a quantiles-based approach
Bouri, Elie; Gupta, Rangan; Marfatia, Hardik A.; Nel, … - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013366537
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Climate risks and predictability of the trading volume of gold : evidence from an INGARCH model
Karmakar, Sayar; Gupta, Rangan; Ҫepni, Oğuzhan; … - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013366552
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Forecasting national recessions of the United States with state-level climate risks : evidence from model averaging in Markov-switching models
Ҫepni, Oğuzhan; Christou, Christina; Gupta, Rangan - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435218
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Effect of temperature on the spread of contagious diseases : evidence from over 2000 years of data
Balcilar, Mehmet; Mukherjee, Zinnia; Gupta, Rangan; … - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014317448