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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391098
This paper examines the effect of fiscal policy on financial markets over a long span of 125 years. Unlike existing studies that mainly focus on monetary policy shocks and model-based identification of fiscal policy shocks, we use a time-varying parameter model to study the effect of fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827249
forecasting recessionary regimes for the U.S. economy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443536
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179591
This paper investigates the existence of significant spillovers from the housing sector onto the wider economy for the … systematically to a housing demand shock, their repercussions on the economy tend to translate into higher policy rates after a few …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690177
forecasting recessionary regimes for the U.S. economy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554324
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541711
We study the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks on the long-run stock market variances and correlations, primarily for the US and the UK. We find that US EPU shocks affect both US and UK stock market long-run variances and correlation, but UK EPU shocks only affect its own...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855094
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